This market resolves YES if Narendra Modi, as the BJP-led NDA
candidate for Prime Minister, wins a majority in the 2029 Lok Sabha
General Election and is sworn in as Prime Minister.
Official source: Election Commission of India (eci.gov.in)
UTC cutoff: Results declared by the Election Commission of India,
expected by June 1, 2029, 00:00 UTC.
Tie/Cancellation handling: If the election is postponed beyond
June 30, 2029, the market will be cancelled and all positions
refunded. In case of a hung parliament where Modi is not sworn
in as PM, the market resolves NO.
Fallback source: Reuters (reuters.com) or NDTV (ndtv.com)
official election results coverage.
Created At: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET